Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001883 0.001999 0.002118 0.002252 0.002396 0.002548 0.002720
2025-04-20 0.001656 0.001812 0.001979 0.002173 0.002393 0.002635 0.002922
2025-04-27 0.001555 0.001742 0.001949 0.002198 0.002489 0.002822 0.003233
2025-05-04 0.001493 0.001706 0.001948 0.002247 0.002608 0.003033 0.003579
2025-05-11 0.001455 0.001691 0.001966 0.002314 0.002746 0.003271 0.003967
2025-05-18 0.001399 0.001651 0.001949 0.002334 0.002823 0.003434 0.004268
2025-05-25 0.001321 0.001576 0.001885 0.002289 0.002814 0.003484 0.004421
2025-06-01 0.001261 0.001522 0.001841 0.002266 0.002829 0.003561 0.004612
2025-06-08 0.001225 0.001495 0.001829 0.002283 0.002894 0.003706 0.004901
2025-06-15 0.001177 0.001448 0.001790 0.002260 0.002904 0.003776 0.005087
2025-06-22 0.001135 0.001409 0.001758 0.002244 0.002920 0.003854 0.005286
2025-06-29 0.001094 0.001370 0.001724 0.002224 0.002929 0.003919 0.005469
2025-07-06 0.001045 0.001319 0.001676 0.002187 0.002920 0.003967 0.005647
2025-07-13 0.000982 0.001249 0.001600 0.002107 0.002845 0.003917 0.005670
2025-07-20 0.000961 0.001233 0.001596 0.002130 0.002919 0.004091 0.006059
2025-07-27 0.000949 0.001230 0.001610 0.002176 0.003031 0.004329 0.006572
2025-08-03 0.000944 0.001236 0.001635 0.002241 0.003173 0.004622 0.007202
2025-08-10 0.000925 0.001221 0.001630 0.002260 0.003245 0.004807 0.007663
2025-08-17 0.000888 0.001179 0.001586 0.002217 0.003217 0.004827 0.007828
2025-08-24 0.000860 0.001149 0.001556 0.002195 0.003220 0.004898 0.008092
2025-08-31 0.000844 0.001136 0.001551 0.002211 0.003285 0.005076 0.008572
2025-09-07 0.000819 0.001108 0.001523 0.002189 0.003287 0.005145 0.008847
2025-09-14 0.000797 0.001084 0.001500 0.002174 0.003298 0.005230 0.009160